Investors should forget about what the Fed does and instead focus on market prices, analyst Dan Fitzpatrick said Monday.
In an interview on CNBC's s "Squawk Box,"
Fitzpatrick said he is getting fatigued with the fixation on the Fed.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen will issue a statement on Wednesday that
investors will be watching for signs that the central bank will raise
interest rates.
"Generally speaking, maybe it's not politically
correct to say it, I don't think they have a clue what they're doing,"
said Fitzpatrick, president of Stockmarketmentor.com.
While a growing number of stocks are trading in bearish territory, the market has not necessarily topped out, he added.
The McClellan Summation Index measures the
long-term health of
markets by comparing advancing and declining stocks.
Currently the index is trading below its midline, indicating that
beaten-down stocks are not rebounding very much.
Fitzpatrick noted that while the S&P 500
has been trading in a wide range, the peaks and valleys have remained
relatively stable and defined. He takes that as a sign that prices are
not set for a pullback, but merely consolidating.
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"This is what prices need to do, and they need to
do this on a regular basis. As the volatility wanes ... these prices
will stabilize in lower ranges," he said.
At that point, traders can look for the next move
higher, he added. In the meantime, investors should not buy stocks in
decline because the McClellan Summation suggests they are not rebounding
yet, he said. Instead, they should own stocks that are still working
and be selective about new investments.
Volatility is cyclical, Fitzpatrick said, and is
currently driven by the weakening euro due to the European Central
Bank's recently launched stimulus program, oil prices that cannot find a
bottom, and uncertainty over Federal Reserve monetary policy.
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